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Compass News
CSU downgrades hurricane prediction
As Cayman continues to prepare for hurricane season, a glimmer of hope has broken through storm season.
Colorado State University’s tropical forecasting arm has downgraded its 2025 storm forecast — a welcome update.
The university team is now projecting 16 named storms, 8 hurricanes, and 3 major hurricanes — each figure reduced by one from the previous forecast.
| 00:01:12
Cayman Compass
Downgraded hurricane forecast still projects above-average season
While still calling for slightly above-average hurricane activity, Colorado State University’s tropical forecasting arm has made a small downward adjustment to its 2025 Atlantic hurricane season forecast.
In its most recent update, issued on 9 July, the university’s atmospheric modelling team forecast 16 named storms, with eight expected to become hurricanes and three strengthening to ‘major’ hurricane status.
Each of these figures are one below the earlier forecast issued at the start of the hurricane season, when the Tropical Meteorology Project team called for 17 named storms, nine hurricanes and four major hurricanes, reaching category 3 or above.
The meteorologists said the primary reason for the slight decrease in the outlook was a high level of wind shear, which is limiting tropical cyclone formation and is expected to continue for at least the next few weeks.
